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Le Templar: What I Know ~

Archive for the 'Election initiatives' Category

Lawmakers lose more money, poll supports Brewer, and ‘racinos’

July 24th, 2009, 11:58 am by Le Templar

Here’s a quick look at some interesting news items to wrap up the week:

More budget cutting unravels – The state Supreme Court ruled today the Legislature illegally took $7 million in interest from a special program created by a 2006 initiative to fund early childhood education and health-care programs. Lawmakers knew they couldn’t touch the money raised directly from cigarette taxes assessed as part of 2006 law. But they hoped they could use the bank interest collected on the paid taxes waiting to be spent. The Supreme Court says “no.”

This becomes the latest setback for the Legislature in a series of lawsuits that have challenged various efforts to reduce a multi-billion dollar budget deficit. The courts have said the Legislature can’t force cities to pay back state funds; it can’t take funds paid by farmers and ranchers for specialized research and marketing; and it might not be able to cut programs that serve the disabled. Other challenges still waiting resolution include the removal of funding from Science Foundation of Arizona and the Arizona Industrial Commission. One would wonder if the Legislature has any budgeting authority left, except the courts did rule in favor of the state’s right to reduce wages and layoff employees.

The sales tax question — Many political activists have wondered if Gov. Jan Brewer or anyone else has a clear sense of what the general public wants for potential budget solutions. A new poll released Thursday by the state Realtors’ association suggests that Brewer is on the right track to support a temporary sales tax hike while opposing the Democrats’ proposal to lower the sales tax rate but expand the list of goods and services that are covered (which would ultimately bring in more tax revenue). The survey seems to be reliable (trustworthy polling outfit, statewide and randomly selected participants, tightly worded questions). The only fallacy I noticed is that the poll underrepresented independent voters (only 22 percent of the total questioned vs. 30 percent of all voter registrations). But the huge margins on the two main questions (two-thirds favoring a temporary sales tax increase but opposing a broader tax base with a lower rate) imply that one disparity didn’t affect the results.

But I’m not sure the poll results actually help Brewer’s cause with the Legislature. Democrats want permanent tax reform, not a temporary solution. And some Republicans have been reluctantly coming around to sending Brewer’s proposal to the ballot under the assumption that it would get defeated. Those Republicans might vote against Brewer now on philosophical grounds if there’s a good chance that voters would support the sales tax hike.

The push for ‘racinos’ — At the beginning of the week, the state’s horse and dog tracks launched a publicity campaign to convince lawmakers to allow slot machines and other forms of banned gambling at racetracks, as a alternative way to balance the budget (More taxes would be collected on gaming revenues). The effort includes an online ad appearing at several political news sites featuring the words, “Mine that bird” and “Mine that budget jockey.”

I have no idea what that’s supposed to mean. I didn’t make any connection to the ‘racino’ campaign,  not even with the annoyingly loud sound at the start of the ad that’s apparently a combination of coins dropping and the starting bell of a horse race. But maybe the wording served its purpose, as after seeing it the ad a couple of times I clicked on it to see where the link sent me. I traveled here, a Facebook page called the Race for Revenues where the tracks are making their case with testimonials and fact sheets.

Racetracks have a point about tribal gaming

July 21st, 2009, 11:15 am by Le Templar
Photo by Capitol Media Services

Photo by Capitol Media Services

Arizona’s horse and dog tracks stepped up their latest campaign Monday to get access to slot machines and possibly other forms of gambling. Such a move would violate the 2002 gaming compact with the state’s Indian tribes that was put on the ballot by initiative and narrowly approved by voters. But the racetracks’ new strategy, crafted by Scottsdale uber-publicist Jason Rose, makes the case that the Tonoho O’odham already have broken the compact with plans to build what would be the state’s largest casino in Glendale. That site isn’t anywhere the state’s second biggest reservation, but apparently would be allowed under an obscure federal law quietly approved by Congress before the 2002 vote. The Tohono O’odham tribe has purchased the land and is waiting for the federal government to declare the location as part of its sovereign territory.

The racetracks are arguing voters had no idea in 2002 that renewing an exclusive monopoly for Indian tribes on slot machines and blackjack (and adding poker) would enable them to build new casinos in areas not part of their existing territories. Sheila Morago, executive director of the Arizona Indian Gaming Association, objects to the notion that voters might have been fooled or kept ignorant during the 2002 campaign.

“That’s your perception,” she told Capitol Media Services. “Has anybody ever asked them?”

Well, as someone who covered the 2002 campaign, I can definitely say that no one ever mentioned the possibility of one or more tribes opening casinos on land not previously recognized as eligible. In fact, there was some debate about the distinct competitive advantages that the urban tribes such as Salt River and Gila River (and the Tonoho in Tucson) had over tribes in rural areas. That was one reason why the compact (as previously negotiated by then-Gov. Jane D. Hull) allows the tribes to sell or lease their designated slot machines to another tribes. The idea was that rural tribes who would face real challenges in attracting casino customers might find it easier and more profitable to sell their share to an urban tribe.

The tribes seem to like their current monopoly. They remain opposed to allowing more gambling at the race tracks, even though that would trigger a “poison pill” in the 2002 compact that would lift most restrictions on tribal casinos. But the tribes need to prepare themselves for a potential backlash that could benefit competitors if the Tohono O’odham tribe goes through with its plans in Glendale.

KJZZ seeks insight on three ballot measures

October 21st, 2008, 2:30 pm by Le Templar

The Valley’s National Public Radio affiliate, KJZZ-FM (91.5) recently invited me into the studio with morning news anchor Dennis Lambert for an interview about three Arizona ballot measures: Proposition 100, an constitutional amendment that would ban any taxes on the sale of real estate; Proposition 101, another amendment that would guarantee anyone’s right to pay for private health care from their own pockets; and Proposition 201, which would mandate 10-year warranties on new home construction. The interview was presented today during NPR’s Morning Edition, at about half of the length of the entire conservation (which is rather generous for a broadcast interview).

These initiatives are widely seen as “less sexy” than a constitutional ban on gay marriages or the measure pushed by the payday loan industry; and the details can be complicated. While the Tribune Editorial Board has taken a stand on all of the measures, I sought to give a balanced explanation about what they would do and outline the strongest arguments provided by those for and against them. Listen for yourself and let me know how I did.

Gov. to homebuilders: Hand over the cash!

July 1st, 2008, 11:00 am by Le Templar

shultz.jpg
MARTIN SHULTZ 

   In an example of mind-boggling micro-management, the folks behind the proposed statewide 1-cent sales tax hike for transportation turned away more than 18,200 petition signatures and a check for $27,000 from central Arizona homebuilders association, Capitol Media Services reported Monday.
   The TIME coalition apparently is trying to hold the homebuilders to the original deal they struck with Gov. Janet Napolitano to provide the campaign $100,000 in cash, in exchange for the initiative not including any new impact fees or special taxes on building construction.
   The homebuilder association apparently thought the TIME Coalition could use help gathering more signatures, since the campaign only started May 8 and has to deliver at least 153,365 valid signatures by Thursday’s deadline. (And a general rule of thumb is a initiative campaign should collect at least 25 percent more signatures than the minimum required to safely qualify for the ballot.)
   But the TIME Coalition wants all of the money, not help with signatures.
   “We’re still waiting,” coalition treasurer and APS uber-lobbyist Martin Shultz told Capitol Media Services.
   It’s a clear reflection of how Napolitano wants complete control of her proposals, regardless of who else might be involved. Does that mean she’ll take the blame if the TIME coalition doesn’t manage to make the November ballot? Somehow, I doubt it.
Update:
   The TIME campaign says Wednesday it has submitted more than 250,000 signatures to put this initiative on the November ballot. Those signatures still need to be verified. But it looks like the coalition didn’t need any help from the homebuilders after all.

Napolitano cuts deal with homebuilders to launch sales tax campagin

May 9th, 2008, 2:51 pm by Le Templar

Janet Napolitano

Gov. Janet Napolitano (second from right) along with ADOT director Victor Mendez help to open a stretch of the Santan Freeway in 2005. (Found at azgovernor.gov)

Tribune writer Dennis Welch has a hot story about Gov. Janet Napolitano cutting a secret deal with Arizona’s biggest homebuilder group to provide $100,000 for an initiative campaign to raise the state sales tax for transportation projects.

The coalition behind the initiative, Transportation and Infrastructure Moving AZ’s Economy, previously had claimed that making growth pay for itself would be essential to any successful statewide transportation plan. Now we know why no such funding mechanism was included in the actual proposal when the campaign to collect initiative signatures was launched Tuesday.

Napolitano was willingly to protect homebuilders, who will benefit heavily from additional transportation construction, in exchange for their cash to get this campaign underway even as the state struggles with a multi-billion budget shortfall.

Here comes “Super Tuesday for civil rights”

February 7th, 2008, 12:48 pm by Le Templar

Ward Connerly

When Ward Connerly predicts Arizona will easily adopt a constitutional amendment to abolish affirmation action programs, his track record says you have to take him seriously.

The former regent of the University of California system has become a national leader in the movement to end all government programs that offer preferential treatment to women or minorities. He was the voice and face of initiatives to stop public colleges and universities from considering race for admission in California, Washington and Michigan. Now, Connerly is the force behind a bid to bring constitutional amendments to November general elections in five states at once, including Arizona, that would ban preference programs related to public education, government employment and public contracts.

Connerly plans to formally launch his campaign for a “Super Tuesday for civil rights,” next week. But he gave a preview in Phoenix Thursday at breakfast fundraiser for the Goldwater Institute.

The Arizona campaign already has high-profile chairman in Maricopa County Andrew Thomas. But Connerly is expected to be the heart and soul of the five-state strategy. As a black man raised by his grandmother, aunt and uncle in the pre-civil rights era of the 1950s, Connerly has been the perfect foil to various groups who say opponents of affirmation action are closet racists.

Connerly says his direct experience with overt discrimination has led him to believe no person should be judged by their skin color or gender, even if the underlying intentions are well-meaning. He says the “morally wrong” focus on race actually keeps society from addresses the problems that harm minorities such as poverty and a lack of education.

Connerly spoke for more than 30 minutes without notes so his speech was somewhat rambling. But his passion emerged during a question-and-answer session when he was challenged by audience member Ed Valenzuela, the former regional director of the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission.

Connerly easily cited a litany of statistics that enrollment and graduation rates climbed for blacks and Asians at specific University of California campuses after that state’s voters banned affirmation action in higher education. He argued black students are now matched better with the programs where they can succeed instead of being accepted into schools for which they weren’t prepared. And Asians clearly were discriminated against in order to prop open campus doors for blacks, he added.  “It is Orwellian to say that by demanding that people be treated equally, you are suppressing their numbers,” Connerly said.

Connerly’s petition drive is formally called the Arizona Civil Rights Initiative and it would “prohibit preferential treatment or discrimination by state government, state universities, colleges, community colleges, school districts, counties and local governments to any individual or group based on race, sex, color, ethnicity or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education or public contracting.”

The initiative has to collect at least 230,047 valid signatures from registered voters by July 3 to qualify for the Nov. 5 general election.

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