
Archive for the '2010 elections' Tag
November 6th, 2009, 11:34 am by Le Templar
Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard let the world know this morning via Twitter that he’s going to formally take steps toward running for governor:
“Today I will file papers to explore running for Governor. AZ needs strong leadership focused on jobs & ending partisan gridlock”
It’s been known for some time that Goddard, a former mayor of Phoenix, planned to make another bid for the post after losing out to Republican Fife Symington in 1990 and to Democrat Eddie Basha in the 1994 primary. Goddard is even considered an early frontrunner and likely will be the only major Democratic candidate to enter the race.
He will be “exploring” until at least mid-January to avoid triggering Arizona’s “resign to run” law. However, some people believe the attorney general already has violated it and should have resigned his current job already.
Goddard’s announcement comes less than 12 hours after the Republican incumbent, Jan Brewer, formally entered the race. The timing likely isn’t a coincidence.
Note: This post has been corrected to reflect the accurate information about Goddard’s past campaigns.
Posted in: Congress • Election issues • Governor • Journalism • 2010 elections • Jan Brewer • Terry Goddard | 1 Comment »
November 5th, 2009, 2:13 pm by Le Templar
Gov. Jan Brewer filed her paperwork today and will formally announce tonight that she’s running in 2010. So it might not have been the best day for Republican challenger Vernon Parker to post his first video message of the campaign. (Yes, ignore the “exploratory committee” nonsense. Parker definitely is in the race at this point). But as you can see below, the video does a nice job of succinctly telling Parker’s personal story. Since Parker isn’t well-known outside of Paradise Valley (where he’s mayor), this general introduction definitely is needed. Be sure to look for the quick photo of a younger Parker with a mustache and a bola tie. He’s definitely stepped up his professional image as he has matured.
Posted in: Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • Jan Brewer • Vernon Parker | Post a Comment »
November 4th, 2009, 3:33 pm by Le Templar
 Gov. Jan Brewer/Capitol Media Services
The Arizona Guardian is reporting this afternoon that Gov. Jan Brewer will announce Thursday night in Glendale that she’s running for election next year. Brewer has been quiet for months about her plans, and relatively poor polling numbers has had many people speculating that she would just serve out the current term. Brewer moved up from secretary of state in January after former Gov. Janet Napolitano become secretary of Homeland Security.
Brewer’s decision means other Republicans – John Munger, Vernon Parker and possibly Dean Martin — will have to campaign against her and not just against the expected Democratic nominee, Terry Goddard. Brewer has an uphill climb, but she never has lost an election, including her two victories for in statewide elections. A lot of experience comes with a track record like that could overcome the current political climate.
Posted in: Election issues • 2010 elections • Arizona Guardian • Dean Martin • Jan Brewer • John Munger • Vernon Parker | 1 Comment »
October 9th, 2009, 2:32 pm by Le Templar
 John Munger of Tucson (right), a Republican candidate for governor, speaks with reporters Thursday night about his endorsement from former Gov. Fife Symington (left)/Photo by Capitol Media Services.
A common trait in people who run for public office is a high level of self-confidence. Those who pull it off well act as leaders; those who don’t just act with arrogance. I’m still trying to figure out which camp John Munger belongs to a few hours after he told me this:
“If I had been governor last year, we would not have a budget deficit today.”
Munger, a Tucson lawyer and co-founder of the Commerce Bank of Arizona, was wrapping up a weeklong tour of the state after formally entering the Republican primary for governor in 2010. He was kind enough to stop by the Tribune office for about 45 minutes this morning to speak face-to-face about his candidacy. Clearly energized by the endorsement Thursday night from former Gov. Fife Symington, Munger said he could quickly resolve the state’s spending problems without the sales tax proposal from the current governor, Jan Brewer, and without “below the bone” budget cuts that would seem to be required if taxes aren’t raised.
In short, Munger is convinced the governor and state Legislature could kick-start the economy and thus rebuild the state treasury. He wants to pursue initiatives that conservatives and libertarians should love, including:
- Tear down the regulatory burdens that prevent businesses from expanding or relocating here. Munger’s promise: Most projects would receive state approval within 30 days. “I have clients in my little law firm that could create 500 to 1,000 jobs overnight if they just could get their projects approved.”
- Lower the corporate income tax and wipe out the property tax on business personal property. “Those aren’t a big part of the budget, but they are important to businesses who are making decisions about the future.”
- Get new highway construction underway with privately funded but state-owned toll roads. “We could get a $20 billion investment just for (an expanded) freeway from Phoenix to Flagstaff.”
Those are all fine ideas, great even. But they couldn’t possibly overcome a $3 billion to $4 billion budget deficit in the near future, could they? Munger insists they would, but most people at the state Capitol can’t imagine that because they are career politicians with too little experience in the business world. “It’s doable if we harness the power of the free enterprise system.”
Munger has a wealth of concrete ideas about what Arizona should be doing to address immediate problems and long-term challenges. I was impressed with his recent suggestions for state-based health care reform. He wants to convince investors to build a desalinization plant off of the Sea of Cortez to pipe water into the state. He wants to decentralize the state K-12 education by empowering school principals to make most budget decisions, getting rid of school district administrators, and using the savings to dramatically raise salaries for quality teachers.
Munger is probably right that current political trends in the state Legislature means he would have a Republican majority eager to embrace his agenda. But he has to get elected first.
On that subject, Munger says he’s clearly the best candidate for Republicans to send against Terry Goddard or any other Democratic candidate. Munger boldly predicted his four decades in Tucson would translate into more votes than Goddard in Pima County (usually viewed as tilting Democrat), and he would easily rally Republican voters in Maricopa County (where 58 percent of Arizona’s electorate live). “It’s my race to lose.”
Like I said, Munger is either a real leader, or is really arrogant. I can’t wait to find out which is true.
Posted in: Arizona Legislature • Arizona government • Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • Jan Brewer • John Munger • Sea of Cortez • state budget | 3 Comments »
October 8th, 2009, 5:11 pm by Le Templar
Other places reported earlier today, but the John Munger’s campaign for governor just make it official that Fife Symington isn’t going to run for governor again after all and has endorsed Munger instead.
That dashes the hopes of those looking for history to repeat itself. And it gives Munger an early anchor to start chasing support of Arizona’s GOP establishment (Although the incumbent, Jan Brewer, might have something to say about that). Of course, other candidates such as Vernon Parker and Robert Graham already are casting themselves as outsiders who can bring fresh ideas to the governor’s office.
But in primary race where private fundraising will be more important than in 2006, any successful candidate will have to gather a strong line-up of Republican insiders.
Posted in: Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • Fife Symington • Jan Brewer • John Graham • John Munger • Vernon Parker | Post a Comment »
September 29th, 2009, 3:37 pm by Le Templar
Can we start referring to Attorney General Terry Goddard as the early front runner in next year’s governor’s race? A national political poll released today, the second in less than a week, shows Arizona voters favor Goddard over Republican incumbent Jan Brewer and at least one other prominent GOP name. As with the previous survey, the new poll from Rasmussen Reports leaves out a number of potential Republican contenders, so these results are in no way predictive of what will happen next year. Still Democrats are happy to tout Goddard’s standing in these polls as a real trend.
Interestingly, Rasmussen is often cited by Republicans as more reliable than other national polling firms. (Sssh! Don’t tell the GOP that poll founder Scott Rasmussen is a former member of the mainstream media.) So these results should provide more emphasis for Republican insiders to “encourage” Brewer to step aside and let other contenders vie for the 2010 party nomination.
Posted in: Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • Jan Brewer • Rasmussen Reports • Terry Goddard | 1 Comment »
September 23rd, 2009, 3:06 pm by Le Templar
In a sign that Arizona politics continues to attract national interest, a Democratic political pollster based in Raleigh, N.C., is rolling out a series of quick turnaround voter surveys related to 2010 statewide elections. Results released today from Public Policy Polling shows Arizona voters currently favor Democrat and Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard to be the next governor over Republican incumbent Jan Brewer and two other GOP big names: state Treasurer Dean Martin and former Gov. Fife Symington. (Paradise Valley Mayor Vernon Parker, who is formally announcing his move into the race tonight, wasn’t offered as a choice.)
On Tuesday, the same firm released polling numbers about President Barack Obama and potential Republican challengers in 2012.
Spokesman Tom Jensen said told me his firm is looking at the political climate in various states across the U.S. this fall where there’s expected to be hot races for U.S. senator and governor in 2010. This week happens to be Arizona’s turn. The firm is covering the costs of these polls out of its own pocket, presumably to drum up publicity and to attract individual candidates as clients.
Jensen said the firm will release survey details Thursday about potential Democratic challengers to Sen. John McCain (Janet Napolitano?). On Friday, it will have a closer look at possible Republican primary match-ups.
Public Policy Polling is upfront about its political leanings but insists that it focuses on honest results. The firm doesn’t have much experience in Arizona. Jensen told me its pollsters first sampled state voters in August 2008 to see if Barack Obama had any shot at upsetting McCain in his home state during the presidential election. Seeing that McCain had a lead of 12 percentage points, Public Policy Polling didn’t waste any more time here.
McCain’s biggest threat in the 2010 Senate race would be in the Republican primary and not from any Democrats, especially since Napolitano still will be running Homeland Security. But Democrats are eager about Goddard heading their 2010 ticket and potentially elevating other candidates. So Public Policy Polling is back and ringing up registered voters again.
Posted in: Arizona government • Congress • Election issues • 2010 elections • Dean Martin • Fife Symington • Jan Brewer • Public Policy Polling • Terry Goddard • Vernon Parker | Post a Comment »
September 16th, 2009, 3:58 pm by Le Templar
 Jim Ward
Some Republicans from Rep. Harry Mitchell’s home district have complained because the Democratic congressman didn’t host any town halls on health care reform or any other topic during the August recess. Mitchell did hold a couple of telephone conference calls with the public that his staff says reached more than 18,000 people. But some people in Congressional District 5 felt cheated because they didn’t get an opportunity to discuss the issue in person with their representative. The people I heard from didn’t want a shouting match. They just wanted to have an honest discussion about what Democrats in Congress have proposed and to hear what Mitchell thinks about it.
Well, Republicans are getting at least part of that wish, as venture capitalist and 2010 congressional candidate Jim Ward is hosting a health care reform forum tonight (Wednesday) at 7 p.m. at the Mustang Library in Scottsdale.
Ward will have on hand a couple of experts: Clint Bolick from the Goldwater Institute and Dr. Eric Novack from Arizonans for Health Care Freedom. Clearly, the panel will be biased against what President Barack Obama has proposed, but the discussion still could get lively.
Posted in: Election issues • 2010 elections • Congressional District 5 • Harry Mitchell • Jim Ward • President Barack Obama • Sonoran Alliance | 1 Comment »
August 13th, 2009, 3:16 pm by Le Templar
 Dean Martin
Just in case some political watchers weren’t paying attention earlier this week when state Treasurer Dean Martin said he was thinking about running for governor next year, someone launched today a digital campaign to draft Martin into the race. So far, it’s all just talk, as Martin hasn’t created an exploratory committee or anything.
But Martin has been positioning himself for a possible bid since he was elected treasurer in 2006. If Janet Napolitano had served her entire second term, the governor’s office would have been a wide-open race in 2010. In a crowded field of Republican candidates, Martin’s name recognition, technology savvy and eager charisma could add up to a winning formula for the party nomination.
Martin’s calculus changed (at least for few months) after Napolitano’s resigned to join President Barack Obama’s cabinet. As a term-limited secretary of state, Jan Brewer already was a likely 2010 contender. Once she was elevated to governor, she had rarefied access to the mass media to keep her identity before voters. Combined with her extensive record of election success, Brewer was potentially unbeatable if she played her cards right.
Of course, politics and news events often work against the fortunes of incumbent politicians. An economy in shambles and a state budget awash in spending deficits left Brewer with a lot of bad policy choices. Her unwavering dedication to a proposed sales tax election has cost her support within the Republican Party, even if she believes it would be approved by voters in general.
Brewer has struggled to establish a comforting or commanding presence in public speeches, and she speaks far less frequently with the media than she could, which might leave her vulnerable among voters who don’t follow politics day-to-day. Meanwhile, the governor has shut down every attempt to ask her about the 2010 elections.
So some people are whispering that she might not want to run at all. And those whispers, whether accurate or whole-cloth fantasy, were bound to catch the ear of ambitious types such as Martin.
Martin’s main weaknesses: He doesn’t have an extensive statewide political network; and grassroots support will be critical in a primary that now will be held in late August (credit to Greg Patterson for that analysis). He also doesn’t have a signature issue that immediately captures the public imagination such as education or illegal immigration.
The X-factor: The recent death of Martin’s wife, Kerry, and newborn son, Austin. I have discovered an incredible amount of sympathy for him among people across the political spectrum, which could translate into votes. But only if Martin doesn’t appear to be using the personal tragedy to his political benefit.
Martin can run for treasurer again instead of entering the governor’s race. But he can’t wait too long to make a decision. As a prominent critic of Clean Elections who has challenged state campaign funding in court, he will have to rely on private support. And that means raising more than $2 million if he wants to be a serious challenger.
To read more about the potential candidates for governor next year, look for this weekend’s column by Tribune contributing writer Austin Hill.
Posted in: Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • Dean Martin • Jan Brewer | 2 Comments »
July 27th, 2009, 3:14 pm by Le Templar
 John Paul Mitchell
Early voting for Arizona’s state primaries is about a year away, but a candidate for governor scheduled to hold the first public event is already looking ahead to the November 2010 general election.
John Paul Mitchell hopes to qualify for the state ballot as an independent, which would allow him to bypass the primaries and go head-to-head against the Republican and Democratic nominees (and the Libertarian and Green alternatives, if those parties decide to get into the race).
I have written before about Mitchell, who is a manager at a Phoenix credit card call center. I continue to be impressed with the energy that Mitchell is throwing into what has to be a long-shot campaign. He’s got a robust Web site, is active on social media and has taken on some campaign staff. Now on Thursday, Mitchell will hold his first public forum before the Republican incumbent and the most likely Democratic challenger have even become candidates.
Mitchell is striving to run an unconventional campaign that uses rapidly evolving social technology to appeal to voters who are not longtime activists in the two major parties. In keeping with this theme, Mitchell will hold a two-hour online town hall to answer questions from the public. The chat, or liveblog, will feature Web software from Scribblelive, which allows users immediate access to such events through existing social media accounts such as Facebook, Twitter and Flickr.
Now, it’s hard to see how Mitchell will have a major impact on next year’s election. After all, a central tenet of his politics is running government without any taxes and the 16th Amendment never was legally ratified. The latter position tends to held by extreme, anti-tax protesters who sometimes wind up in prison.
But Ron Paul surprised a lot of people with his 2008 success in fundraising, if not with the popular vote, and pioneered some Internet techniques that Mitchell will try to expand upon. So it will be worth watching to see what Mitchell does.
Posted in: Congress • Courts • Election issues • Governor • 2010 elections • John Paul Mitchell | Post a Comment »
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